Cheap-Arrangement
0x5c686b448ee24e77b74b4c9c160565be7863f07f
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$107.31
Total PnL
$0.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
60 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$60.28
$0.30
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$20.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
15 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$15.00
$0.03
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
12 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$12.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$14.97Apr 28, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$20.00Apr 28, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$12.00Apr 28, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 6?$11.00Apr 28, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 6?$8.95Apr 4, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 6?$0.99Apr 4, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?$60.00Apr 4, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 6?$0.99Apr 4, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$10.01Apr 4, 04:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$63.06Apr 4, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$10.00Mar 16, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$63.00Mar 16, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mistral have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$12.30Mar 16, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$35.04Mar 16, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$80.08Mar 16, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mistral have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.3KFeb 12, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$80.00Feb 11, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.3KFeb 11, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$409.59Feb 11, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thierry Mariani win the Paris mayor election?$414.58Feb 11, 14:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $343.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 03:03 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 08:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.