Reflecting-Champagne
0x5c697e956ae83ace6535349ddf64c6487aad9695
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$19.33
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-125.19
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?
17 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$17.00
$0.77
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.33
$0.33
- YES
Will Trump x Rogan interview last 60-90 min?
2232 shares @ 41.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-925.48
- YES
Will Trump x Rogan interview be under 1 hour?
2228 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-289.70
- YES
Will Trump x Rogan interview last 90-120 min?
1502 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-204.21
- YES
Will Trump say "Michigan" 20 or more during Warren, MI rally?
680 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2024$0.00
$-51.40
- YANKEES
World Series: Yankees vs. Dodgers Game 5
350 shares @ 55.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2024$0.00
$-194.50
- GIANTS
Commanders vs. Giants
304 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2024$0.00
$-106.38
- PACKERS
Lions vs. Packers
200 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2024$0.00
$-88.00
- NO
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?
192 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-32.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$16.26May 11, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.00May 11, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.00May 11, 01:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$0.99May 11, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.01May 11, 01:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$0.98May 11, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.04May 11, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.02May 11, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.01May 11, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at Rocky Mount events on Friday?$30.00May 11, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at Rocky Mount events on Friday?$18.80Dec 17, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLNorth Korea missile launch by November 30?$2.65Nov 8, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorth Korea missile launch by November 30?$9.80Nov 8, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorth Korea missile launch by November 30?$2.65Nov 8, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.11Nov 8, 04:10 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$2.78Nov 8, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$5.27Nov 8, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$5.27Nov 8, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$4.51Nov 8, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$4.32Nov 8, 04:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 14, 21:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 01:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".