Tepid-Punishment
0x5ca785f37f29def0fbc33729fc42df5ba5d9ddc7
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$103.63
Total PnL
$-136.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
23 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$19.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$16.39
$6.39
- YES
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.50
$2.50
- YES
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?
12 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$11.90
$1.90
- YES
Will CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) beat quarterly earnings?
11 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$11.49
$1.49
- UP
Gold (GC) Up or Down on March 2?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$10.87
$0.87
- UP
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 2?
11 shares @ 94.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$10.63
$0.63
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
19 shares @ 53.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$9.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.05
$-9.95
- YES
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?
31 shares @ 65.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?$10.00Mar 2, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$10.00Mar 2, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold (GC) Up or Down on March 2?$10.00Mar 2, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 2?$10.00Mar 2, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?$10.00Mar 2, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) beat quarterly earnings?$10.00Mar 2, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?$12.35Feb 21, 12:43 UTC
- REDEEMAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on February 3?$10.66Feb 5, 19:11 UTC
- REDEEMGoogle (GOOGL) Up or Down on February 3?$11.11Feb 5, 19:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?$13.12Feb 5, 19:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?$31.20Feb 5, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on February 3?$10.00Feb 3, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYGoogle (GOOGL) Up or Down on February 3?$10.00Feb 3, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?$10.00Feb 3, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?$10.00Feb 3, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?$10.00Feb 3, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?$10.00Feb 3, 17:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?$11.11Feb 3, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$11.11Feb 3, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir Technologies Inc (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?$11.36Feb 3, 17:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $13.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 22:11 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 02:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.