Weary-Pork
0x5ca997ca051a0959486e5ce1aa254c76b8fc6ccf
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$66.82
Realised
$26.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 16.6¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$579.50
$413.50
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
920 shares @ 8.5¢·now 41.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$383.18
$304.98
- SPAIN
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)
161 shares @ 97.8¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$157.30
$-0.16
- NO
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
100 shares @ 62.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$63.00
$1.00
- NO
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
50 shares @ 83.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.00
$0.25
- YES
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
10 shares @ 92.4¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$9.55
$0.31
- NO
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?
10 shares @ 86.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.30
$-0.30
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
10 shares @ 82.8¢·now 78.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.82
$-0.46
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-181.00
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-114.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Argentina (-2.5)$59.66Jul 16, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Argentina (-2.5)$97.80Jul 16, 08:42 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.22Jul 16, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$1.78Jul 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$34.95Jul 15, 22:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$33.60Jul 15, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$58.00Jul 15, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$49.00Jul 15, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$72.58Jul 15, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$58.00Jul 15, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$31.50Jul 15, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.70Jul 15, 21:20 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Argentina (-2.5)$100.00Jul 15, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-15?$1.02Jul 15, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$12.54Jul 15, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Argentina (-2.5)$99.30Jul 15, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$2.66Jul 15, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?$35.89Jul 15, 19:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $59.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 23:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 09:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.