Likely-Stranger
0x5cb34a3dc07a17c73048b1e3fc47974198585297
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-773.02
Realised
$68.31
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
2204 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-211.30
- YES
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?
511 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-72.93
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
357 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
344 shares @ 25.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-88.83
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
330 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-85.80
- NO
Will NVIDIA dip to $172 in November?
200 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-113.98
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
175 shares @ 46.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-82.00
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
154 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
OpenAI browser by October 31?
150 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-22.50
- YES
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?
75 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-24.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$85.80Jan 19, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?$89.98Jan 19, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$33.83Jan 13, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$23.87Jan 13, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$20.07Jan 12, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$5.52Jan 12, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$29.42Jan 12, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$24.08Jan 12, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$0.56Jan 12, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$1.02Jan 12, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$1.00Jan 12, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$16.67Jan 12, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$0.68Jan 12, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$1.00Jan 12, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$55.63Jan 12, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$40.00Jan 12, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.58Jan 12, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$40.00Nov 28, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$40.00Nov 28, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$40.00Nov 28, 22:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $35.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 14:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 19, 19:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".