0x5ccfe1cb678f73ddc60a97dcaccdb8ca1fbcc0a5
0x5ccfe1cb678f73ddc60a97dcaccdb8ca1fbcc0a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$63.18
Total PnL
$-20.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
104 shares @ 48.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$51.56
$1.56
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$4.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13 shares @ 15.3¢·now 18.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.44
$0.44
- YES
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.36
$0.36
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.96
$0.96
- YES
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?
28 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?
14 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$1.07Jun 27, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.07Jun 27, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-29?$5.32Jun 27, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$52.78Jun 27, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?$4.25Jun 26, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway vs. France end in a draw?$0.40Jun 26, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. France end in a draw?$5.32Jun 26, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win on 2026-06-25?$1.94Jun 26, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?$19.94Jun 26, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States win on 2026-06-25?$5.39Jun 26, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan win on 2026-06-25?$2.08Jun 26, 00:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?$1.93Jun 25, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?$2.13Jun 25, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?$2.13Jun 25, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-25?$21.09Jun 25, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$2.12Jun 25, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-25?$10.63Jun 25, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.13Jun 25, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.64Jun 25, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$14.81Jun 25, 03:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $7.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 23:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 08:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.