Awesome-Plough
0x5cd1ab656a4545292ccc50a815c4b57b6bac47f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
63
Open notional
$12.53
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
5 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.13
$0.13
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- NO
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- NO
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- NO
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$0.41
$-0.59
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.13
$-0.87
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
660 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-198.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-23?$1.01Jun 21, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$1.01Jun 21, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-22?$1.00Jun 21, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-22?$1.00Jun 21, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?$1.00Jun 21, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?$1.00Jun 21, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$1.01Jun 21, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$2.12Jun 21, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1.05Jun 2, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.05Jun 2, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 2, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$5.00Jun 2, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.03Jun 2, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.07Jun 2, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?$20.04Jun 2, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.00May 20, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 20, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$1.00May 20, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.00May 20, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?$20.00May 5, 15:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $95.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 22:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 19:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.