Likable-Storm-Orientation
0x5cd41558c8ad1e82877cba29efcf1714315fd051
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$48.38
Total PnL
$-12.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
14 shares @ 28.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.57
$1.57
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
132 shares @ 3.8¢·now 3.8¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$4.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will "Miracle" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$4.84
$2.84
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
137 shares @ 5.1¢·now 2.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$3.49
$-3.51
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
4 shares @ 68.5¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.29
$0.29
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
12 shares @ 26.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$3.17
$0.17
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
18 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.91
$-0.09
- YES
Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026?
38 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
34 shares @ 5.8¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.57
$0.57
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.97
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGoogle (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 8?$2.065h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.055h ago
- TRADESELLWill the NYT front-page headlines say "Beijing" this week?$3.806h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$3.116h ago
- TRADESELLMeta (META) Up or Down on May 8?$9.176h ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 7, 2026?$12.326h ago
- TRADEBUYMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 8?$1.047h ago
- TRADEBUYMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 8?$1.047h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$8.317h ago
- TRADESELLWill Moderates be part of the next Government of Denmark?$0.947h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Naleraq be part of the next Government of Denmark?$2.087h ago
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$4.147h ago
- TRADEBUYMeta (META) Up or Down on May 8?$4.1011h ago
- TRADESELLHantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$2.0211h ago
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by May 8?$7.2311h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$2.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$1.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$2.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump dance on May 9, 2026?$2.001d ago
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by May 31?$2.061d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 5h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
