Alive-Kennel
0x5ce10c55a8f0183e7f35c62456f87a8ad4c6ab9b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.03
Realised
$0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $178-$180 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 5 – Jan 9?
255 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
- NO
Will Trump say "Biden" during oil executive meetings on Friday?
195 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.39
- YES
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $182-$184 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 5 – Jan 9?
191 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.19
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $440-$445 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 5 – Jan 9?
176 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.18
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $435-$440 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 5 – Jan 9?
140 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.16
- YES
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of January 5 above $178?
140 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 5 above $90?
128 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of January 5 above $180?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on January 9, 2026?
100 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of January 5 above $179?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.50Jan 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLCurfew in Minneapolis-Saint Paul by Monday?$1.00Jan 10, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US strike Somalia next?$0.10Jan 10, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Somalia next?$0.20Jan 10, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYCurfew in Minneapolis-Saint Paul by Monday?$0.44Jan 10, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYCurfew in Minneapolis-Saint Paul by Monday?$0.44Jan 10, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLCurfew in Minneapolis-Saint Paul by Monday?$0.64Jan 10, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYCurfew in Minneapolis-Saint Paul by Monday?$0.81Jan 10, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 8 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs?$0.26Jan 10, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on January 9, 2026?$0.05Jan 10, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on January 9, 2026?$0.20Jan 10, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 8 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs?$0.40Jan 10, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs?$2.00Jan 10, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs?$2.00Jan 10, 01:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Player 174 win Beast Games: Season 2?$2.00Jan 10, 00:27 UTC
- REWARD$2.78Jan 10, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 5 above $90?$0.05Jan 9, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir (PLTR) finish week of January 5 above $178?$0.05Jan 9, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close at $440-$445 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 5 – Jan 9?$0.05Jan 9, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir (PLTR) finish week of January 5 above $180?$0.05Jan 9, 23:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 21:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 11, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.