Parallel-Polarization
0x5cebe0ff4e787b28acf353c03746be8b00e4737d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
1349 shares @ 32.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-440.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
400 shares @ 69.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-278.43
- YES
Will PSG win on 2025-08-13?
290 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-197.19
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11PM ET
100 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
100 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-76.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6AM ET
100 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on July 20?
100 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2025$0.00
$-57.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 4AM ET
63 shares @ 46.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-29.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$45.52Mar 23, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$7.60Mar 23, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$0.08Mar 23, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?$156.89Mar 23, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$22.80Mar 23, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?$150.00Mar 7, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$9.80Mar 6, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$8.00Mar 6, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$8.20Mar 6, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$8.00Mar 6, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold have the best performance in 2026?$23.20Feb 25, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$0.00Feb 13, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$0.00Feb 13, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$19.74Feb 13, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$21.48Feb 13, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$55.73Feb 13, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$13.00Feb 13, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$20.00Feb 13, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$0.00Feb 13, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$0.00Feb 13, 03:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $18.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 14:02 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 01:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".