Alienated-Chemical
0x5cec2dbd26762bcdecd73c84deb5fd7fe7ce7c61
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
95
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$-16.02
Realised
$-0.09
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 95- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
777 shares @ 86.6¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$726.55
$53.86
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4883 shares @ 6.0¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$417.51
$126.30
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
170 shares @ 75.4¢·now 87.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$148.75
$20.58
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
172 shares @ 86.9¢·now 79.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$136.78
$-12.81
- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
8294 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$103.68
$-26.37
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
97 shares @ 89.7¢·now 94.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$92.03
$4.83
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
100 shares @ 84.9¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$85.85
$0.65
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
69 shares @ 82.7¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$60.00
$3.27
- YES
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
8285 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$53.86
$-16.40
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
84 shares @ 67.8¢·now 60.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$51.01
$-6.14
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpread: Pistons (-4.5)$10.00May 18, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons$67.21May 18, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$5.12May 18, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$10.10May 18, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$5.12May 18, 02:04 UTC
- REDEEMBoston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves$16.67May 18, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$5.12May 18, 01:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5.20May 17, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$5.09May 17, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$10.21May 17, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$10.21May 17, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$20.42May 17, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$5.09May 17, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$5.09May 17, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.08May 17, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians$3.05May 17, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. New York Mets$5.08May 17, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves$10.12May 17, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays$3.05May 17, 12:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $6.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 15:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".