Downright-Carriage
0x5ceccc72d96fb9758aa2d7e2f9bb944a4b0679c4
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$39.74
Total PnL
$-23.05
Realised
$1.47
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 10?
46 shares @ 52.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp May 10, 2026$25.49
$1.61
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 10?
50 shares @ 60.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp May 10, 2026$14.24
$-15.76
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in April 2026?
250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 10?$1.083h ago
- REWARD$2.233h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 10?$6.504h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 10?$2.874h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 10?$13.434h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 10?$0.055h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 10?$4.505h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 10?$5.405h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 10?$18.555h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 10?$1.505h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 9?$11.0517h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 9?$20.6917h ago
- REWARD$2.801d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 9?$26.531d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 8?$9.711d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 8?$1.531d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 8?$2.251d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 8?$1.811d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 8?$7.161d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 8?$26.001d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $12.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
