Threadbare-Ceramic
0x5ceedc79d0bb4534a44f2ab2eb9d622e41c022ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$845.10
Total PnL
$-8.5K
Realised
$-36.69
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3184 shares @ 19.6¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$525.39
$-97.93
- YES
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?
996 shares @ 17.5¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$159.38
$-15.23
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
8055 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$68.47
$-1.1K
- YES
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
300 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.50
$1.50
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
4187 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$31.40
$-566.52
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
182 shares @ 5.5¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.36
$-0.64
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
43 shares @ 23.0¢·now 3.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.59
$-8.41
- YES
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?
60045 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-619.42
- NO
Will Solana reach $90 in May?
6881 shares @ 40.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.8K
- YES
Megaquake by March 31?
2276 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-88.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$935.00Jun 8, 10:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.7KMay 31, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3.50May 31, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$439.54May 31, 14:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?$0.57May 29, 09:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.5KMay 28, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$388.47May 28, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$53.60May 28, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$107.20May 28, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$800.00May 28, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$60.00May 28, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$3.18May 28, 09:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?$3.42May 27, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?$13.11May 27, 18:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $563.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 21:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 10:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.