Meager-Following
0x5cfd881133ff44d1f7b81ea8a819a30dfc39ca1b
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
139
Open notional
$11.7K
Total PnL
$-22.8K
Realised
$139.09
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 139- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
2353 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$11.77
- NO
Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?
1105 shares @ 90.5¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$78.03
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
1017 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.0K
$11.70
- NO
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
1087 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$5.44
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1057 shares @ 94.6¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$4.12
- NO
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
1193 shares @ 83.8¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$984.28
$-15.72
- NO
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
821 shares @ 85.3¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$795.90
$95.90
- NO
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
620 shares @ 91.3¢·now 92.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$571.13
$5.33
- YES
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?
980 shares @ 51.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$514.71
$14.71
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
535 shares @ 93.5¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$504.55
$4.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$57.28Jun 14, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$43.59Jun 14, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.68Jun 14, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.77Jun 14, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.63Jun 14, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.05Jun 14, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.64Jun 14, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.52Jun 14, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.29Jun 14, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.77Jun 14, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.57Jun 14, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.66Jun 14, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.55Jun 14, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.2KJun 14, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$70.00Jun 14, 04:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score$101.08Jun 13, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.0KJun 13, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$252.14Jun 13, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$502.70Jun 13, 11:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $155.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 17:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 07:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.