Disastrous-Pen
0x5d340a5bf4d7dc0bc0aa4f52d2d974e84b1ede83
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$483.83
Total PnL
$-0.17
Realised
$2.99
Win rate
100%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
109 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$107.83
$-0.19
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
110 shares @ 98.5¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$106.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
54 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$54.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
54 shares @ 99.2¢·now 97.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$52.80
$-1.20
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
27 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.05
$0.04
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
27 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$27.02
$0.01
- NO
Will George Pickens play for New Orleans Saints in 2026-27?
27 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$27.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
27 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$27.01
$0.01
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
27 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$26.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
26 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$25.72
$0.08
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$27.03Jun 13, 01:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$27.03Jun 12, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$14.25Jun 12, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$12.78Jun 12, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$27.00Jun 12, 02:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$27.03Jun 11, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$27.03Jun 11, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$12.16Jun 11, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$14.87Jun 11, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$27.02Jun 11, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$27.02Jun 11, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$27.02Jun 11, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$4.07Jun 11, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$22.95Jun 11, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$25.63Jun 11, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$7.31Jun 11, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$19.72Jun 11, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$27.00Jun 11, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$27.00Jun 10, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$27.00Jun 10, 20:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $24.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 12:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 01:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.