These-Tissue
0x5d3aa3cc3b97547dd4dea12e38f3efa6d6dca8b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$50.73
Total PnL
$-452.86
Realised
$-10.93
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
59 shares @ 61.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$41.02
$5.02
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.71
$-0.29
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
5000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
193 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-41.66
- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
167 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?
93 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
91 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
86 shares @ 34.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
72 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
61 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$13.18Jul 11, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$10.39Jul 11, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$10.37Jul 11, 16:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$33.47Jul 10, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$9.35Jul 10, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$20.40Jul 10, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$30.64Jul 10, 07:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-09?$46.77Jul 9, 22:37 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 9, 21:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-07-07?$15.41Jul 7, 05:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$19.23Jul 6, 21:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $26.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 11:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.