Jaded-Confidentiality
0x5d5a68ba12cf0264ea2dab626d99abb9a71c4289
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$7.4K
Total PnL
$669.99
Realised
$-27.35
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2565 shares @ 77.7¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$2.2K
$250.93
- YES
Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1173 shares @ 84.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$1.2K
$175.73
- NO
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2661 shares @ 28.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$917.88
$172.72
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?
726 shares @ 68.9¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$555.39
$55.24
- YES
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
428 shares @ 69.8¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$391.68
$92.72
- NO
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
397 shares @ 93.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$384.94
$15.79
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
230 shares @ 87.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$225.98
$25.98
- NO
Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?
213 shares @ 93.9¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$208.20
$8.28
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
197 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$196.73
$7.21
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
181 shares @ 81.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 15, 2026$179.35
$32.98
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$31.39Jun 21, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 21, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jun 20, 04:44 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$11.23Jun 20, 00:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 20, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.2KJun 19, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$291.05Jun 19, 05:10 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$7.70Jun 19, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$0.00Jun 19, 00:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 19, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$10.00Jun 18, 00:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 16, 00:11 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$8.60Jun 15, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 15, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$1.76Jun 14, 05:51 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$11.05Jun 14, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$0.00Jun 13, 20:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $37.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 08:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.