Winged-Part
0x5d5c656f9e3d3af4ea5dd4aeabf286906e843589
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$319.40
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-30.41
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
205 shares @ 48.8¢·now 71.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$146.31
$46.31
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
85 shares @ 59.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$58.05
$8.05
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
515 shares @ 29.1¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$54.04
$-95.96
- YES
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
200 shares @ 27.5¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.00
$-18.00
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
313 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.44
$-1.56
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?
81 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Aug 29, 2026$0.36
$-29.64
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?
100 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 28, 2026$0.15
$-39.85
- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?
83 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 28, 2026$0.04
$-14.96
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
1082 shares @ 50.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-541.68
- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
714 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?$30.94Aug 22, 13:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 22, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?$15.61Aug 21, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?$41.20Aug 21, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$169.41Aug 21, 13:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 20, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$51.02Aug 11, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$100.00Aug 11, 15:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 11, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$25.00Aug 10, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYGianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?$22.86Aug 7, 08:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $59.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 08:24 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 22, 13:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.