Well-Worn-Archer
0x5d6a770055a035002c395cb656d84f2dc24f9ef0
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
106
Open notional
$11.56
Total PnL
$-550.16
Realised
$-152.87
Win rate
2%
97 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 106- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$10.62
$0.62
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.94
$-9.06
- YES
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
105 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Barcelona SC win on 2026-05-28?
84 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bolivia win on 2026-03-31?
54 shares @ 45.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-24.64
- YES
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?
52 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-04?
51 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?
48 shares @ 37.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Club Bolívar win on 2026-08-11?$2.08Aug 12, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Bolívar win on 2026-08-11?$2.08Aug 12, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Bolívar win on 2026-08-11?$2.05Aug 12, 00:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 20, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 20, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 20, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 20, 04:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 20, 04:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$91.27Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.09Jul 19, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.41Jul 19, 20:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$1.05Jul 18, 21:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.15Jul 14, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.93Jul 14, 20:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 97 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
97 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $3.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 18:27 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 01:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 97 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.