Self-Assured-Tenor
0x5d83c3963c790b9760e6ac0e55878320cafa0bb9
Quality score
75/100
Open positions
36
Open notional
$2.9K
Total PnL
$-33.7K
Realised
$-2.4K
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
3005 shares @ 56.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.2K
$525.98
- NO
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
411 shares @ 71.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$322.47
$30.81
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
212 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$211.54
$21.15
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 11.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$154.99
$45.00
- NO
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
5 shares @ 77.0¢·now 96.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.83
$0.98
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
14668 shares @ 95.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-14.0K
- NO
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?
9878 shares @ 37.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.7K
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
7184 shares @ 81.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.8K
- YES
Will Mistral AI have the top AI model on December 31?
4061 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.18
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
3290 shares @ 84.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.8K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?$2.928d ago
- TRADESELLWill Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?$45.528d ago
- TRADESELLWill Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?$16.7714d ago
- TRADESELLWill Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?$14.0222d ago
- REDEEMGemini 3.5 released by March 31?$4.3123d ago
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$6.1923d ago
- REDEEMGrok 5 released by March 31, 2026?$294.5123d ago
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$313.5523d ago
- REDEEMGPT-5.4 released by March 9?$976.9323d ago
- REDEEMGPT-5.4 released by March 5?$3.1K23d ago
- TRADESELLWill Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?$6.6949d ago
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by March 31?$355.4450d ago
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.4 released by March 5?$494.4351d ago
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.4 released by March 9?$902.0151d ago
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.4 released by March 5?$569.1351d ago
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.4 released by March 5?$1.7K51d ago
- TRADESELLGPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?$3.8K51d ago
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?$490.4653d ago
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?$2.6K53d ago
- REDEEMGPT-5.3 released by February 14, 2026?$46.8367d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 83d ago
- Last active
- 8d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.