Aching-Tender
0x5dba5ce96c70a494f190f8c98f78f77faefeb652
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-79.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?
104 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Crystal Palace reach the UEFA Conference League final?
56 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
51 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
43 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?
31 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-10?
28 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
28 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$62.50Jul 21, 19:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $3.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 00:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 19:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.