Will Crystal Palace reach the UEFA Conference League final?
Probability
73¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+2.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$5.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
+3.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 73¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 295h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $5.9k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 294.6h
- 17:23SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 295h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+2.0pp over the last 24h, now 73¢.
Biggest hourly move: +6.5pp at 1d ago (to 73¢).
Show all 33 hour-by-hour ticks
- 17:00 · +5.5pp → 73¢
- 15:00 · +4.5pp → 72¢
- 14:00 · +4.5pp → 72¢
- 12:00 · +4.5pp → 72¢
- 11:00 · +4.5pp → 72¢
- 09:00 · +4.5pp → 72¢
- 08:00 · +4.5pp → 72¢
- 06:00 · +4.5pp → 72¢
- 05:00 · +5.5pp → 72¢
- 03:00 · +4.5pp → 71¢
- 02:00 · +4.5pp → 71¢
- 00:00 · +4.5pp → 71¢
- 23:00 · +4.5pp → 71¢
- 21:00 · +4.5pp → 71¢
- 20:00 · +5.0pp → 72¢
- 18:00 · +4.5pp → 71¢
- 1d ago · +4.5pp → 71¢
- 1d ago · +5.0pp → 72¢
- 1d ago · +6.5pp → 73¢
- 1d ago · +6.0pp → 73¢
- 1d ago · +6.5pp → 73¢
- 1d ago · +6.5pp → 73¢
- 1d ago · +6.5pp → 73¢
- 1d ago · +6.5pp → 73¢
- 1d ago · +4.0pp → 71¢
- 2d ago · +5.0pp → 72¢
- 2d ago · +5.0pp → 72¢
- 2d ago · +4.0pp → 72¢
- 2d ago · +4.0pp → 72¢
- 2d ago · +5.5pp → 73¢
- 2d ago · +3.5pp → 73¢
- 2d ago · +3.5pp → 73¢
- 2d ago · +3.5pp → 73¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa Conference League final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League is cancelled, postponed after June 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 8, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.