Stylish-Physics
0x5dccba3a9a456c69f3063c80be82164a90fd619c
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$794.24
Total PnL
$-280.46
Realised
$402.88
Win rate
33%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
8712 shares @ 3.6¢·now 3.6¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$317.98
$5.87
- NO
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
628 shares @ 40.7¢·now 37.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$236.98
$-18.52
- YES
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
6200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 1.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$114.70
$-41.40
- YES
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
2300 shares @ 2.5¢·now 1.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$42.55
$-14.95
- YES
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
4000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$30.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
1000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$23.50
$-26.50
- YES
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?
14545 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$21.82
$-87.49
- YES
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?
2687 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$6.72
$-14.78
- YES
Will Paul Seixas win the 2026 Tour De France?
4793 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.00
$-85.39
- MAJA CHWALINSKA
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva
301 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-21.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$6.45Aug 13, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.69Aug 13, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.75Aug 13, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.37Aug 13, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$2.04Aug 13, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$251.44Aug 13, 09:44 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.71Aug 13, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.01Aug 12, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$237.04Aug 12, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.19Jul 19, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.24Jul 19, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.08Jul 19, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.48Jul 19, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.08Jul 19, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.73Jul 19, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.80Jul 19, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.21Jul 19, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.17Jul 19, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.28Jul 19, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.07Jul 19, 22:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $10.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 22:14 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 12:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.