Frozen-Musculature
0x5e29b3f5174b604a4a6e47c315210c1c7b2e9c17
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$8.0K
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$-335.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
7150 shares @ 81.2¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.8K
$952.81
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
1000 shares @ 85.7¢·now 97.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$974.46
$117.50
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
700 shares @ 28.0¢·now 19.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$135.45
$-60.55
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
4100 shares @ 2.5¢·now 3.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$125.05
$21.26
- YES
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 3?
2591 shares @ 65.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 22?
2452 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-289.69
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 16?
1039 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-357.21
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 20?
618 shares @ 21.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-134.39
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?
250 shares @ 73.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-183.50
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 22 2026?
107 shares @ 37.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-39.79
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?$276.88Jul 27, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?$452.19Jul 27, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?$8.08Jul 27, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?$73.79Jul 27, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?$218.42Jul 27, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?$218.42Jul 27, 19:26 UTC
- MERGES&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?$408.27Jul 27, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?$3.64Jul 27, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?$3.79Jul 27, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?$155.33Jul 27, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?$157.24Jul 27, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?$4.89Jul 27, 19:24 UTC
- MERGES&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?$105.90Jul 27, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?$79.18Jul 27, 19:24 UTC
- MERGES&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?$249.98Jul 27, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?$194.26Jul 27, 19:23 UTC
- MERGES&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?$369.98Jul 27, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?$71.82Jul 27, 19:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $85.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 19:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.