Striped-Physiology
0x5e3d91ca32c1e773fbc4e97fae3f91912159ff92
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$494.63
Total PnL
$195.87
Realised
$22.17
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
379 shares @ 63.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$379.15
$137.39
- NO
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
40 shares @ 66.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.25
$13.46
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
33 shares @ 82.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.54
$3.48
- NO
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?
32 shares @ 66.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.10
$8.92
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
18 shares @ 7.1¢·now 82.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.58
$13.32
- NO
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
6 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$20.50Jun 9, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$6.56Jun 9, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLEuropean country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? $27.30Apr 5, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday?$0.00Apr 5, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia join the Board of Peace?$0.00Apr 5, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Udachne by August 31?$0.00Apr 5, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? $139.76Jan 30, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?$3.81Jan 26, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?$17.37Jan 26, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? $37.12Jan 26, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$59.15Jan 25, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$57.95Jan 25, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? $19.20Jan 25, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? $3.32Jan 25, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? $17.81Jan 25, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$98.27Jan 25, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$91.74Jan 25, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$0.02Jan 25, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$2.51Jan 25, 06:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia join the Board of Peace?$93.19Jan 25, 01:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $44.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 20:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 20:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.