EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?
Probability
12¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$26.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
-3.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5989.4h
- 10:34SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5989h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 10¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 10¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 10¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy. Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).