Puzzled-Watchmaker
0x5e4380bcc5948dc429f5b7d81eb95aabbb022578
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
88
Open notional
$337.75
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-4.07
Win rate
53%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 88- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
160 shares @ 70.7¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$92.00
$-21.10
- YES
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?
50 shares @ 70.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp May 8, 2026$33.25
$-1.75
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?
30 shares @ 74.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$21.75
$-0.45
- NO
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
20 shares @ 82.1¢·now 82.2¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$16.44
$0.02
- THUNDER
Thunder vs. Lakers
20 shares @ 75.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp May 10, 2026$15.50
$0.50
- THUNDER
Thunder vs. Lakers
20 shares @ 76.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 12, 2026$15.30
$0.10
- SPURS
Timberwolves vs. Spurs
20 shares @ 71.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp May 12, 2026$14.10
$-0.10
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?
18 shares @ 76.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$13.47
$0.17
- SPURS
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
20 shares @ 64.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$13.00
$0.20
- SPURS
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
20 shares @ 62.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp May 8, 2026$12.90
$0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. 76ers$4.934m ago
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Spurs$14.201h ago
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. 76ers$5.871h ago
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Lakers$15.203h ago
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Timberwolves$2.563h ago
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Timberwolves$6.403h ago
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers$5.704h ago
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers$0.104h ago
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Timberwolves$3.844h ago
- REDEEMLakers vs. Thunder$20.008h ago
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons$20.0010h ago
- YIELD$0.0012h ago
- REDEEMWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-07?$5.0013h ago
- TRADESELLWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-07?$4.4516h ago
- TRADESELLWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-07?$7.9016h ago
- TRADESELLWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-07?$7.2016h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-07?$3.2317h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$9.081d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$7.411d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-16?$7.701d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $6.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 4m ago
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
