Biodegradable-Reset
0x5e55fb0aeb4f585249af2e685fbe070967f34c96
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$56.67
Total PnL
$8.96
Realised
$11.46
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
12 shares @ 50.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.08
$4.08
- YES
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$9.77
$-0.23
- YES
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 53.2¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.04
$3.04
- YES
Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$5.06
$0.06
- MOROCCO
Spread: France (-1.5)
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$4.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
157 shares @ 1.8¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.17
$1.36
- COLOMBIA
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance
5 shares @ 61.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$2.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 94.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.30
$1.30
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 18.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.05
$1.05
- YES
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group H?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.55
$0.55
Recent activity
- REDEEMUnited States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5$2.82Jul 7, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5$2.02Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?$5.09Jul 6, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 6, 22:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Raphinha score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 6, 22:47 UTC
- REDEEMMexico vs. England: Team to Advance$1.40Jul 6, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLMexico vs. England: O/U 3.5$4.92Jul 6, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: O/U 3.5$4.02Jul 6, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMSwitzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance$0.00Jul 5, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMMichael Olise: 1+ goals$0.00Jul 5, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMParaguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5$0.00Jul 5, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jul 5, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-1.5)$5.05Jul 5, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLMexico vs. England: Team to Advance$2.13Jul 5, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group H?$1.03Jul 5, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance$3.04Jul 5, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: Team to Advance$3.04Jul 5, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.10Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.42Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $3.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 02:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.