Well-To-Do-Slide
0x5e797d32424dba74fe9568eb39b1db016e472f69
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$130.52
Total PnL
$-119.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of July 13 2026?
119 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$119.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Marcel Ciolacu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
11 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.41
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 10?
800 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
800 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
780 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.56
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 25?
767 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 2?
735 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.94
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on March 2?
735 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.47
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,700 on March 28?
720 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 27?
710 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of July 13 2026?$119.00Jul 17, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-1.5)$2.08Jul 17, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close at >$320 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?$121.27Jul 17, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close at >$320 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?$121.00Jun 26, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMBirmingham: Yunchaokete Bu vs Lloyd Harris$13.02Jun 26, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$13.91Jun 26, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$86.60Jun 26, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBirmingham: Yunchaokete Bu vs Lloyd Harris$5.70Jun 1, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$13.57Jun 1, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$86.36May 31, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$13.90May 31, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$13.56May 31, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$113.83May 31, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$113.39May 30, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$112.86May 30, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$113.02May 30, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C or higher on May 28?$12.05May 30, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?$101.50May 30, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?$101.41May 29, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marcel Ciolacu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$11.40May 29, 04:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $93.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 10:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 09:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.