GeopoliticsMulti-outcomeExpires Jun 3, 2026

Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?

Probability

2¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-1.8pp

24h Vol

$382.79

Liquidity

$19.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

-2.6pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 01:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:52
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 2pp over 24h

    Now 2¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 918h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $19.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 918.1h

    LOW
  • 17:52Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 918h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-1.7pp over the last 24h, now 2¢.

Biggest hourly move: -3.5pp at 2d ago (to 3¢).

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventChungcheongnam Province Governor Election Winner
Category · Geopolitics

Market Description

The Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next governor of Chungcheongnam Province. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 3, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
natoOfficial government sourceextracted · high
nec.go.kr
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
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