Adolescent-Athlete
0x5e85ab43bdee1d8e0c4b5094789658f5ecfc80c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$20.1K
Total PnL
$-15.4K
Realised
$-2.69
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
260084 shares @ 12.2¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.5K
$-12.3K
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
14286 shares @ 21.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$478.57
$-2.5K
- NO
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
612 shares @ 46.9¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$125.36
$-161.63
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
97 shares @ 36.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.98
$-17.01
- YES
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
217 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
79 shares @ 63.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
74 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
72 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
69 shares @ 72.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?
57 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.74Aug 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.66Aug 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.74Aug 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.74Aug 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.58Aug 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.60Aug 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.70Aug 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.74Aug 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.74Aug 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.74Aug 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.74Aug 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.74Aug 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.74Aug 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.74Aug 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.74Aug 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.74Aug 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.83Aug 5, 02:30 UTC
- YIELD$1.97Aug 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.97Aug 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.97Aug 2, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.