0x5e95dc9e1d53d834221bb423f9c2422e138078ac
0x5e95dc9e1d53d834221bb423f9c2422e138078ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-49.12
Realised
$-1.69
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on April 13?
365 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 2°C on April 13?
365 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C or below on April 13?
116 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.48
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C or higher on April 9?
104 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 44°F or higher on April 12?
102 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 9?
76 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 48-49°F on April 12?
70 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 13?
58 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on April 13?
50 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 13?
27 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.49
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSpread: IK Start (-2.5)$3.98Apr 13, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 44°F or higher on April 12?$0.72Apr 11, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 44°F or higher on April 12?$0.30Apr 11, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 44°F or higher on April 12?$0.30Apr 11, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 44°F or higher on April 12?$0.30Apr 11, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 44°F or higher on April 12?$0.30Apr 11, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 44°F or higher on April 12?$0.10Apr 11, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: IK Start (-2.5)$0.47Apr 10, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: IK Start (-2.5)$0.73Apr 10, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: IK Start (-2.5)$0.43Apr 10, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: IK Start (-2.5)$3.44Apr 10, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: IK Start (-2.5)$3.44Apr 10, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: IK Start (-2.5)$3.44Apr 10, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: IK Start (-2.5)$2.25Apr 10, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: IK Start (-2.5)$1.50Apr 10, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: IK Start (-2.5)$1.95Apr 10, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: SK Brann (-2.5)$2.59Apr 9, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: SK Brann (-2.5)$3.65Apr 9, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: SK Brann (-2.5)$0.97Apr 9, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Viking FK (-2.5)$3.35Apr 9, 20:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 09:14 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 21:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.