Energetic-Producer
0x5eb0cd907aa0b7b4df11552e817570e265ea5012
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-280.1K
Realised
$157.21
Win rate
29%
68 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?
14723 shares @ 12.6¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.5K
$-315.98
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
10664 shares @ 8.1¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$479.88
$-383.62
- YES
Will the HBO documentary identify Shinichi Mochizuki as Satoshi?
320717 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025
200000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-944.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
136847 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.2K
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1
120000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-258.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on November 12?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 13?
99992 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?
95559 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
82679 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-4.0K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Aug 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Aug 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Aug 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Aug 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Aug 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Aug 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Aug 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Aug 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Aug 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Aug 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Aug 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Aug 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Aug 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Aug 5, 02:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Aug 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Aug 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Aug 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Aug 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 30, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
49/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
29% win rate over 68 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
68 closed markets, 29% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $42.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 13:05 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 68 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.