0x5ec1372c0a7310cf1927112a063619380812a156
0x5ec1372c0a7310cf1927112a063619380812a156
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$21.07
Total PnL
$0.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$3.25
$1.95
- NO
Will Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks?
3 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$3.00
$1.77
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?
3 shares @ 67.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$2.91
$0.91
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
3 shares @ 65.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$2.27
$0.29
- YES
Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
3 shares @ 69.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$2.23
$0.27
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
2 shares @ 78.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.71
$0.13
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
3 shares @ 50.2¢·now 50.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.53
$-0.00
- NO
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
3 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.51
$-0.02
- NO
Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?
3 shares @ 41.1¢·now 49.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.51
$0.25
- YES
Vertiv (VRT) Q2 adjusted operating margin 22%-24%?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.05
$-0.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$1.57Jul 28, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?$1.30Jul 27, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$1.98Jul 27, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks?$1.26Jul 26, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?$1.57Jul 26, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?$1.34Jul 25, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?$2.00Jul 25, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?$2.00Jul 24, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$1.14Jul 24, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$2.00Jul 23, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?$2.53Jul 23, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYVertiv (VRT) Q2 adjusted operating margin 22%-24%?$1.17Jul 23, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$1.58Jul 22, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?$3.70Jul 22, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?$3.05Jul 22, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by August 31?$1.98Jul 22, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?$2.04Jul 21, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?$2.05Jul 21, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?$1.92Jul 20, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$0.00Jul 19, 23:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 21:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.