Austere-Bookcase
0x5ecf845b70ac1ea66adbe0f48629effc83a8af11
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$149.47
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$48.02
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
50 shares @ 68.0¢·now 67.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$33.55
$-0.45
- NO
Will Le Mans FC achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?
100 shares @ 40.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$23.50
$-16.50
- NO
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 23.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$23.40
$-1.60
- UP
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
40 shares @ 53.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$18.80
$-2.40
- YES
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 4, 2026?
45 shares @ 47.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.32
$-9.96
- YES
Will Pinterest (PINS) beat quarterly earnings?
35 shares @ 42.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp May 4, 2026$10.67
$-4.03
- YES
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
500 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.75
$0.25
- YES
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.13
$3.13
- YES
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.25
$0.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?$9.002m ago
- TRADESELLWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$44.055m ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$25.931h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$105.422h ago
- TRADESELLAWS service disrupted by June 30?$15.402h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.122h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$10.102h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?$19.002h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$34.002h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.962h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$6.402h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$128.002h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?$14.202h ago
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$82.452h ago
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$27.592h ago
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$13.072h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$25.003h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?$18.803h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?$6.603h ago
- TRADESELLWill Dupont (DD) beat quarterly earnings?$5.003h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $22.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 6h ago
- Last active
- 2m ago
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".