Handmade-Library
0x5ed2bd057210c5eabe80a342db190cceaea013d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-142.85
Realised
$-2.32
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on June 23?
50 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-26.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
8 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
7 shares @ 72.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
7 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- UP
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
7 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
7 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
7 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
Recent activity
- REWARD$3.33Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on June 23?$26.50Jun 23, 01:03 UTC
- REWARD$1.66Jun 23, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 22?$15.47Jun 22, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 22?$17.04Jun 22, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 22?$1.83Jun 22, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 22?$1.88Jun 22, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no one dissent the July Fed decision?$52.19Jun 20, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no one dissent the July Fed decision?$2.05Jun 20, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no one dissent the July Fed decision?$60.14Jun 20, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no one dissent the July Fed decision?$94.07Jun 20, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no one dissent the July Fed decision?$97.15Jun 20, 01:42 UTC
- REWARD$5.94Jun 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?$6.12Jun 19, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?$6.51Jun 19, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no one dissent the July Fed decision?$5.27Jun 19, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no one dissent the July Fed decision?$5.36Jun 19, 02:56 UTC
- REWARD$6.08Jun 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?$25.50Jun 18, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?$26.50Jun 18, 13:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $16.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 11:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.