PoliticsMulti-outcomeExpires Jun 23, 2026

Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Probability

50¢

-1.5pp

24h

+1.0pp

24h Vol

$31.00

Liquidity

$25.1K

Probability (last 7 days)

-12.5pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 09:00Apr 25, 2026, 08:56

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 1407.1h
LOW
08:56Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1407h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
08:00Price
Probability up 6.5pp
to 51¢
MEDIUM
06:00Price
Probability up 6.0pp
to 51¢
MEDIUM
05:00Price
Probability up 6.5pp
to 50¢
MEDIUM
03:00Price
Probability up 8.0pp
to 51¢
MEDIUM
02:00Price
Probability up 6.5pp
to 51¢
MEDIUM
00:00Price
Probability up 4.5pp
to 51¢
MEDIUM
22:00Price
Probability up 3.5pp
to 50¢
MEDIUM
21:00Price
Probability up 3.5pp
to 50¢
MEDIUM
20:00Price
Probability up 4.5pp
to 51¢
MEDIUM
18:00Price
Probability up 4.5pp
to 51¢
MEDIUM
17:00Price
Probability up 4.0pp
to 51¢
MEDIUM
15:00Price
Probability up 4.0pp
to 53¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -4.5pp
to 48¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -13.0pp
to 46¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -11.0pp
to 50¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -14.5pp
to 46¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -16.0pp
to 46¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -15.0pp
to 47¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -14.5pp
to 47¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -18.0pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -18.0pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -17.5pp
to 45¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -14.5pp
to 48¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -18.0pp
to 45¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -19.5pp
to 43¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -18.0pp
to 45¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -18.5pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -18.5pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventNY-13 Democratic Primary Winner

Category · Politics

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: Jun 23, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the UAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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Top Holders

18 wallets

YES

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