Gleaming-Orient
0x5eec1b59273669498cd2cbdda7947a46087ef4e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$98.2K
Total PnL
$1.8K
Realised
$887.91
Win rate
100%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
20000 shares @ 94.2¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.1K
$220.14
- NO
New pandemic in 2026?
17500 shares @ 93.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.0K
$-267.36
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
11315 shares @ 91.4¢·now 93.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$10.6K
$240.48
- NO
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
9000 shares @ 93.8¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.5K
$64.54
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
7967 shares @ 77.6¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.3K
$73.39
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
7000 shares @ 86.5¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.2K
$136.84
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?
6000 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.0K
$23.62
- NO
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31?
5000 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$4.9K
$124.20
- NO
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?
3640 shares @ 97.4¢·now 97.4¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$3.5K
$-1.02
- NO
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?
3000 shares @ 95.5¢·now 97.8¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.9K
$67.23
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?$125.22Jul 28, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$25.87Jul 28, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?$314.68Jul 28, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2026?$892.71Jul 28, 04:24 UTC
- YIELD$2.45Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$3.97Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?$688.80Jul 27, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?$39.20Jul 27, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?$329.00Jul 27, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$390.00Jul 27, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?$440.00Jul 27, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2026?$460.00Jul 27, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2026?$17.28Jul 27, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2026?$460.00Jul 27, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mirage Be Removed by July 31, 2026?$214.80Jul 27, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nuke Be Removed by July 31, 2026?$114.89Jul 27, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?$99.40Jul 27, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?$909.77Jul 27, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2026?$460.00Jul 27, 10:02 UTC
- YIELD$2.45Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$26.6K
Trades
1
Buy share
0%
Window
Jun 5, 19:10 UTC → Jul 4, 09:37 UTC
- SELLWill Trump pardon SBF by July 31?$7.8K@98¢Jul 4, 09:37 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 2 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$7.8K
1 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
2 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$18.8K · 71% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $548.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 15:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 11:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.