Gifted-Beak
0x5efab2386a865202c8c5be82d8e6d03af5348e48
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$338.73
Total PnL
$-88.00
Realised
$-15.18
Win rate
32%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- SYRACUSE ORANGE
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Syracuse Orange
142 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$142.00
$72.42
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
56 shares @ 82.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$56.00
$9.57
- YES
Will António José Seguro win the first round?
32 shares @ 45.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$32.00
$17.57
- NO
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
24 shares @ 12.4¢·now 93.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.38
$19.40
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
17 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$17.00
$8.84
- YES
Will Josy and Gunnar marry by the end of Love is Blind: Germany: Season 2?
12 shares @ 77.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$12.00
$2.66
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?
10 shares @ 87.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$10.00
$1.23
- NO
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 14 be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000?
7 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$7.00
$0.77
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 24, 2026?
6 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$6.00
$2.22
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 22.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.00
$3.12
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?$4.35Jan 16, 00:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$11.28Jan 16, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 18, 2026?$10.83Jan 16, 00:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DoorDash report between 875 million and 900 million total orders in Q4 2025?$4.26Jan 16, 00:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DoorDash report between 875 million and 900 million total orders in Q4 2025?$9.23Jan 16, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025?$10.20Jan 16, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$1.92Jan 16, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 18, 2026?$10.83Jan 16, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?$4.35Jan 16, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 18, 2026?$2.85Jan 16, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?$7.38Jan 15, 23:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?$1.33Jan 15, 23:48 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$3.12Jan 15, 23:46 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$4.29Jan 15, 23:46 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?$0.84Jan 15, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?$6.49Jan 15, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?$1.20Jan 15, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?$1.32Jan 15, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Shah" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$3.95Jan 15, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?$7.65Jan 15, 23:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 20:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 00:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".