Quarterly-Fame
0x5f03317ab969be38ab0c72dafd54ae412f44f3bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-590.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?
43430 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-143.40
- YES
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?
5519 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-79.99
- YES
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?
4329 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-179.99
- NO
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?
626 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
92 shares @ 41.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-38.30
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
71 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-19.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
69 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-29.55
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
66 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-29.54
- UP
XRP Up or Down - March 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
47 shares @ 41.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-19.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?$21.55Apr 29, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?$20.95Apr 29, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?$15.74Apr 29, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?$34.64Apr 29, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?$10.49Apr 29, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?$21.00Apr 29, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?$104.83Apr 29, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?$47.24Apr 28, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?$52.30Apr 28, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?$62.83Apr 28, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?$20.00Apr 15, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?$10.00Apr 15, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$39.98Apr 3, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$48.48Apr 1, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$77.59Apr 1, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$30.00Mar 26, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$30.00Mar 25, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$40.00Mar 25, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$10.00Mar 25, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$30.00Mar 25, 23:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $29.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 02:51 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 18:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.