Waterlogged-Institute
0x5f04835cc346d2dc5b8626f7d905681c10b78c19
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$52.61
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$8.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
90 shares @ 58.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$52.61
$0.45
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07?
1250 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
738 shares @ 52.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-386.27
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
579 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-99.49
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
516 shares @ 57.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-295.51
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
390 shares @ 48.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-189.71
- DOMINICAN REP.
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USA
254 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-78.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
236 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-39.80
- YES
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?
231 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
187 shares @ 52.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-98.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$52.82Jun 13, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-07?$509.00Jun 7, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$560.49May 30, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$309.68May 30, 00:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$49.46May 22, 13:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$254.23May 16, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$172.04May 16, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford FC win on 2026-05-09?$18.48May 9, 16:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?$186.02May 9, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?$100.00Apr 19, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$35.65Apr 19, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?$42.51Apr 12, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?$33.91Apr 12, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$5.00Apr 12, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$5.21Apr 12, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$1.50Apr 12, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?$45.00Apr 12, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$5.68Apr 9, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$63.61Apr 9, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$122.07Apr 9, 11:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $93.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 16:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 12:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.