Yummy-Conscience
0x5f13fc993d6a04e7fb801f9204cc3c26eb6cf926
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$228.14
Total PnL
$-12.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 7?
210 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$206.85
$6.85
- YES
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
45 shares @ 13.5¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 29, 2027$5.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
16 shares @ 31.3¢·now 33.8¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$5.39
$0.39
- NO
Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 44.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$3.55
$0.55
- YES
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
34 shares @ 11.7¢·now 10.2¢·exp Jan 29, 2027$3.48
$-0.52
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
7 shares @ 42.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.04
$0.04
- YES
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
13 shares @ 12.0¢·now 2.2¢·exp Jan 29, 2027$0.27
$-1.23
- NO
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
112 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in June?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUY0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 7?$200.00Jul 1, 15:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude go down 6-8 times in June?$15.63Jul 1, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?$1.57Jun 25, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?$4.18Jun 25, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?$5.21Jun 25, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?$1.04Jun 25, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 6-8 times in June?$5.14Jun 25, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 9-11 times in June?$10.20Jun 24, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?$1.07Jun 23, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$1.06Jun 23, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 21, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$3.07Jun 21, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?$3.00Jun 21, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$5.00Jun 21, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?$5.00Jun 21, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$8.45Jun 21, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$1.02Jun 20, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$1.02Jun 20, 20:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $15.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 20:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 15:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.