Rubbery-Spell
0x5f26c3475e11997a87579989f056f954a9a6fe92
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$242.70
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
175 shares @ 57.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$111.40
$11.40
- TAMPA BAY RAYS
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
45 shares @ 44.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$20.23
$0.23
- NO
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
49 shares @ 40.8¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$19.86
$-0.14
- DETROIT TIGERS
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels
38 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$19.62
$-0.38
- ATHLETICS
Washington Nationals vs. Athletics
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$18.40
$-1.60
- YES
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?
28 shares @ 71.3¢·now 62.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.39
$-2.61
- YES
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?
30 shares @ 67.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.31
$-2.69
- MILWAUKEE BREWERS
Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers
25 shares @ 79.5¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$13.58
$-6.42
- YES
Will Mike Trout win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?
54 shares @ 45.9¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$4.90
$-20.10
- BALTIMORE ORIOLES
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees
556 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-07-15?$31.25Jul 15, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$20.00Jul 15, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Nationals vs. Athletics$20.50Jul 15, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox$20.56Jul 15, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers$20.20Jul 15, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels$20.48Jul 15, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?$20.23Jul 15, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PayPal be acquired before 2027?$20.26Jul 15, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-15?$20.36Jul 15, 16:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $20.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.