Standard-Jackal
0x5f3ee9c40be255d1c18ca38bf4ab94b564c75337
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
103
Open notional
$4.1K
Total PnL
$-261.65
Realised
$14.76
Win rate
52%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 103- NO
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
914 shares @ 70.4¢·now 73.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$667.10
$23.58
- NO
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
219 shares @ 85.8¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$189.39
$1.54
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 31, 2026?
183 shares @ 90.1¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$165.46
$0.74
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
189 shares @ 70.3¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$164.68
$31.68
- NO
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
170 shares @ 89.4¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$153.00
$1.02
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 30, 2026?
138 shares @ 87.9¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$128.69
$7.70
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 29, 2026?
122 shares @ 90.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$121.49
$11.32
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
450 shares @ 28.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$110.18
$-15.74
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 29?
100 shares @ 72.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$99.95
$27.43
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on July 29?
100 shares @ 85.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$99.95
$14.12
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on July 29?$50.00Jul 29, 22:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on July 29?$73.00Jul 29, 22:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Warsh say "Holding" during July Press Conference?$6.00Jul 29, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?$67.70Jul 29, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft say "AMD / Advanced Micro Devices" during earnings call?$34.30Jul 29, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft say "AMD / Advanced Micro Devices" during earnings call?$0.70Jul 29, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft say "Windows 11" during earnings call?$0.88Jul 29, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft say "Windows 11" during earnings call?$10.56Jul 29, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft say "Windows 11" during earnings call?$31.24Jul 29, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft say "Windows 11" during earnings call?$1.32Jul 29, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon say "Middle East" during earnings call?$0.23Jul 29, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon say "Iran" during earnings call?$3.85Jul 29, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 4, 2026?$5.67Jul 29, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple say "GPU / CPU" during earnings call?$6.50Jul 29, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple say "GPU / CPU" during earnings call?$32.50Jul 29, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon say "Iran" during earnings call?$0.95Jul 29, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon say "Supply Chain" during earnings call?$26.50Jul 29, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Prize" 5+ times during Big Brother E11?$23.00Jul 29, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Mindset" during Big Brother E11?$8.50Jul 29, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Camera" during Big Brother E11?$7.00Jul 29, 19:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
50/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
52% win rate over 25 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $20.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 15:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 22:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.