Poor-Nucleotide
0x5f3f8ceced1ef6c77e32bf0926d3f097fa91ae90
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$67.31
Total PnL
$-391.03
Realised
$-132.04
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
254 shares @ 22.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$67.31
$11.43
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
700 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-82.05
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?
608 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-29.45
- YES
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC?
498 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-19.91
- YES
Lionel Messi: 2+ goals
400 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-32.00
- YES
Julián Álvarez: 2+ goals
315 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.41
- YES
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?
300 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?
257 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
200 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.60
- YES
Lionel Messi: 2+ assists
200 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$3.08Jul 22, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$44.00Jul 22, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$8.80Jul 22, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 2+ assists$16.00Jul 19, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 2+ goals$32.00Jul 19, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$9.43Jul 19, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLLionel Messi: 1+ assists$9.29Jul 19, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ assists$10.36Jul 19, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYJulián Álvarez: 2+ goals$10.91Jul 19, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?$1.34Jun 25, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$10.25May 30, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC?$2.00May 30, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$10.23May 30, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC?$4.12May 30, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$4.00May 30, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$4.80May 30, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?$0.37May 30, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?$0.60May 30, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?$0.60May 30, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?$0.96May 30, 15:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 14:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 09:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.