Square-Pray
0x5f528cc600b25fa74e1fb6f775489081bfcf7274
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-149.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?
165 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage in 2025?
106 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
97 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?
78 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?
71 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- NO
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
67 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
64 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
52 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
40 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?$0.00Apr 19, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?$0.00Apr 19, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?$0.00Apr 19, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$0.00Apr 19, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$0.00Apr 19, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?$0.00Apr 19, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYLabour leadership election scheduled by June 30?$60.00Apr 5, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end by November 7?$22.47Mar 1, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$28.88Mar 1, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?$1.00Nov 5, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?$1.00Nov 5, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by November 7?$20.00Nov 5, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$4.00Nov 5, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by November 30?$4.00Nov 5, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$2.00Oct 19, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$1.00Oct 18, 11:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?$0.37Oct 18, 11:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Netherlands recognize Palestine in 2025?$1.23Oct 18, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy recognize Palestine in 2025?$0.90Oct 18, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$7.00Oct 15, 22:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $5.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 24, 19:40 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 08:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.