Grateful-Sprout
0x5f5e18d2658c1a607c60aba86463019d615849b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.20
Total PnL
$-9.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Movement for the Liberation of the Central African People win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
135 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.20
$-1.08
- YES
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?
1100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Google be the most valuable company on October 31?
750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Ximena Rincón win the Chilean presidential election?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will PACOR win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?
643 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
350 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
260 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?$2.81Jul 1, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?$40.38Jul 1, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?$18.47Jul 1, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?$13.91Jul 1, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.71Jun 30, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in June?$30.82Jun 30, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$78.96Jun 30, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?$13.90Jun 30, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$46.41Jun 29, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?$18.40Jun 29, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in June?$30.70Jun 28, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$29.71Jun 28, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?$38.80Jun 28, 15:41 UTC
- REDEEMCap FDV above $400M one day after launch?$142.59Jun 27, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?$1.50Jun 27, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.70Jun 27, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYCap FDV above $400M one day after launch?$140.83Jun 27, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$177.66Jun 27, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$177.31Jun 27, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.50Jun 26, 23:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $61.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 23:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 19:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.