0x5f62746ad55527ad75b4795bec7cd45f557ed989
0x5f62746ad55527ad75b4795bec7cd45f557ed989
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$4.6K
Total PnL
$-8.4K
Realised
$881.65
Win rate
100%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- FRANCE
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
4000 shares @ 59.0¢·now 59.1¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$2.4K
$4.80
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
2577 shares @ 86.8¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.2K
$-7.06
- NO
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
57 shares @ 83.9¢·now 87.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.76
$1.80
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Belgium?
10992 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Belgium?
10000 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England?
9344 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 France?
7822 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-530.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium?
7761 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-993.12
- YES
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Belgium?
5065 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-354.54
- YES
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Egypt?
5000 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-700.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$9.02Jul 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1.7KJul 12, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$2.4KJul 12, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Switzerland?$64.18Jul 12, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$332.23Jul 12, 03:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jul 12, 03:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$36.99Jul 12, 03:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.09Jul 12, 03:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.0KJul 12, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$335.12Jul 12, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.88Jul 12, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.21Jul 12, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.11Jul 12, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELLArgentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$27.32Jul 12, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLArgentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$10.86Jul 12, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLArgentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$5.00Jul 12, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLArgentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$10.00Jul 12, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLArgentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$54.03Jul 12, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLArgentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$19.50Jul 12, 03:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $186.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 03:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.