Sandy-Cabana
0x5f7f9493034677de2d528e2e32ce40b7967a7f50
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$19.56
Total PnL
$-21.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026?
3 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.67
$0.67
- YES
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.35
$0.35
- YES
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$2.20
$0.20
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 56.8¢·now 43.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.51
$-0.49
- YES
Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.49
$0.49
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.05
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Minnesota" this week? (February 1)$1.00Jan 27, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?$1.00Jan 27, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?$1.00Jan 27, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.00Jan 27, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$1.00Jan 27, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during Iowa speech?$1.00Jan 27, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.00Jan 27, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?$1.00Jan 27, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?$1.00Jan 27, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?$1.00Jan 27, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$1.00Jan 27, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$1.00Jan 27, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 27, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026?$1.00Jan 27, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?$1.00Jan 27, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?$1.00Jan 27, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$1.00Jan 27, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026?$1.00Jan 27, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.00Jan 27, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Jan 27, 03:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 12:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 27, 03:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.