Playful-Gravy
0x5f875702f3c1b4166a1c4c998214197759153929
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$873.47
Total PnL
$-962.08
Realised
$-46.48
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?
501 shares @ 87.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$501.00
$60.62
- NO
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
735 shares @ 49.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$257.25
$-102.90
- OPENAI
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
237 shares @ 33.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$58.06
$-20.14
- NO
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?
71 shares @ 78.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.45
$1.06
- NO
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
4 shares @ 68.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$0.70
$-2.02
- YES
Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
3 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.01
$-0.35
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?
440 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-303.60
- NO
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 6 be greater than 2,300,000?
307 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-89.03
- OPENAI
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
304 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-54.72
- FENERBAHCE
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce
283 shares @ 48.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-138.39
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$177.60Apr 27, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$318.20Apr 23, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?$90.88Apr 21, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?$134.08Apr 21, 03:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GitLab be acquired before 2027?$6.16Apr 13, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?$49.88Apr 13, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?$86.43Apr 13, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?$182.16Apr 13, 04:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?$411.40Apr 13, 04:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?$72.96Apr 12, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GitLab be acquired before 2027?$542.88Apr 12, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?$38.04Apr 12, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GitLab be acquired before 2027?$604.50Apr 12, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?$189.44Apr 12, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?$309.69Apr 12, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?$434.63Apr 12, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?$26.06Apr 12, 08:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?$19.87Apr 12, 08:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?$64.50Apr 12, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump post "Invasion" on Truth Social this week?$1.0KApr 11, 08:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $248.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 06:59 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.